Wednesday, November 4, 2026

My Hopelosophy: A Philosophy of Maximizing Life Before the Outcome





I have a little monkey who has been trying to explain something about life for quite some time. He is printed on a MISCELLABRA T-shirt, making a heart with his hands beneath a deliberately ridiculous word: HYPELOSOPHY. Underneath him is a four-part proposition expressed in percentages. Get hyped and the thing happens: 100 per cent joy. Get hyped and it does not happen: 50 per cent. Do not get hyped and it happens: 50 per cent. Do not get hyped and it does not happen: zero. The conclusion is gloriously uncomplicated: get hyped. The monkey is funny because he offers the assurance of a mathematical theorem while looking like the last creature one would entrust with a theorem. But I meant the idea when I designed it, and I mean it more strongly now. Beneath the joke is a serious argument about how we spend the time allotted to us.

I call the larger idea my hopelosophy. The shift from hype to hope is deliberate. Hype suggests the charged anticipation of a game, a film, a concert, a trip or a creative project; hope reaches further, into relationships, work, family, illness, recovery and the moral possibility that tomorrow might be better than today. They are not interchangeable emotions, and the stakes can differ enormously. Yet both permit a person to participate imaginatively in a future that has not arrived. Both make the period before an outcome part of the experience itself. Both ask a question I think we neglect: why should the value of wanting something be entirely decided by whether the world eventually grants it?

The arithmetic on the shirt is a metaphor, not a psychological measurement. Nobody has established that anticipation contributes precisely half of a person's happiness, and there is no universal unit in which grief, affection, excitement and disappointment can be added together. The percentages are a memorable way of describing two dimensions: the experience of looking forward and the experience of the event, if it occurs. The event may be beyond my control. How I attend to the possibility of the event is, at least in part, something I can cultivate. That difference is the operating principle of hopelosophy. I cannot guarantee tomorrow. I can refuse to make today emotionally empty while I wait for it.

Anticipation is already a part of life

In economic models, a desirable experience is often treated as something that yields its benefit when it is consumed. But George Loewenstein's 1987 account of anticipation and delayed consumption proposed that looking forward can itself generate utility. The person awaiting an enjoyable event may derive pleasure before it begins; the person dreading something painful can suffer before it occurs. This makes intuitive sense. A holiday can occupy the mind pleasantly for weeks. The thought of seeing someone beloved can change the character of an otherwise unremarkable Tuesday. A forthcoming creative release can give a calendar structure, a conversation subject, an excuse to revisit old work and a reason to imagine something new. These are experiences taking place in the present, even though their object belongs to the future.

Psychologist Fred Bryant has developed this insight through the study of savoring: how people generate, intensify and prolong positive experience. His work distinguishes savoring through anticipation, enjoyment in the moment and reminiscence afterward. This gives a promising event three possible lives in consciousness. I can look forward to it, live through it, and remember it. Nor must the first stage be a passive countdown. Anticipation can involve preparing, learning, creating, discussing possibilities and paying attention. I have always found that the approach to an occasion produces its own culture of activity. The event is a point on the calendar; the anticipation can occupy a season.

The research also cautions against turning this into a guaranteed happiness technique. Studies of affective forecasting, especially the work of Timothy Wilson and Daniel Gilbert, show that people often misjudge how intensely and how long future events will affect them. A hoped-for success may be less transformative than imagined; a disappointment may be less permanently devastating. The brain is a poor fortune-teller. Hopelosophy does not need it to be a good one. Its thesis is that enjoyment honestly experienced during the waiting period belongs to that period, whatever prediction it accompanied. If I spent a week talking, dreaming and laughing about a possibility, the eventual result does not retroactively erase that week.

Path one: I hope, and it does not happen

This is the case people usually offer as an objection to hope. Why get excited when something might disappoint you? Why expose yourself to an imagined future that reality can take away? My answer is that the hoped-for outcome was never the only possible source of meaning. Suppose I spend months anticipating a film that is cancelled, an opportunity that falls through, a gathering that cannot happen or a personal undertaking that fails. I may be disappointed, and in some cases deeply so. Nevertheless, the interest, friendships, plans, discoveries and moments of imaginative pleasure produced along the way were real. If the event does not arrive, there is still a history of engagement behind me. The monkey calls this 50 per cent. I think of it as the value of the journey that survives the destination.

This becomes more delicate when the subject is someone we love. Imagine sitting beside a person with a terminal illness and hoping they will survive, despite a prognosis that makes survival unlikely. I would never suggest that their death should be assigned a percentage of joy, or that anyone must feel grateful for having hoped. Grief cannot be audited that way. Yet I would defend the human value of the hope itself. Hoping may accompany acts of devotion: visiting, listening, making plans for the next morning, speaking as though another conversation remains possible, and choosing not to reduce a living person to the certainty of their eventual death. Some people find comfort in such hope; others experience it as painful or exhausting, and neither response is a failure of character. A 2026 rapid review of interventions for people with advanced illness describes hope as a changing, relational resource, supported by communication and care as well as by structured psychological approaches. It is possible to hope for recovery while also hoping for comfort, dignity, closeness or a good day. When one hope becomes impossible, others may remain.

What this first path teaches me is the difference between having a hope and making a demand on reality. A demand insists that the future must vindicate the feeling invested in it. A hope admits uncertainty while allowing that feeling to exist. If I allow myself the second without confusing it with the first, disappointment need not become a verdict that my previous happiness was foolish. It may hurt tremendously. It may change my understanding of what mattered. It cannot make the moments already lived cease to have happened. Even an outcome that never materializes can have shaped a life in meaningful ways.

Path two: I do not hope, and it happens

This is the respectable form of emotional self-protection. I tell myself not to get my hopes up. I insist that I will believe good news only after it arrives. I become cautious about an application, a holiday, a creative breakthrough or a long-awaited release. Then it happens. I receive the news, enjoy the result and congratulate myself on having avoided disappointment. On the surface, nothing has been lost. In fact I may have forgone weeks or months in which anticipation could have made my ordinary life more pleasurable. I have obtained the experience, but declined its prologue. The HYPELOSOPHY monkey awards me 50 per cent, a deliberately simplified way of saying that I collected the outcome but neglected the approach.

There are understandable reasons to live this way. Previous disappointments can teach caution. In some circumstances, defensive pessimism helps people regulate anxiety and prepare for setbacks. It would be crude to claim that everyone must feel outwardly excited or that restraint always diminishes enjoyment. Hope is not an obligation to perform cheerfulness. Still, I think the habit of postponing all happiness until confirmation deserves scrutiny. If I only permit myself to celebrate a possibility after its successful completion, the future gains the power to authorize every positive feeling associated with it. The present is reduced to a waiting room. When I was capable of looking forward, imagining and sharing, I chose not to. I cannot always change an outcome, but I can often change that relationship to the interval before it.

To me, this path also exposes a peculiar misunderstanding of maturity. People sometimes describe a refusal to become excited as realism, as though enthusiasm were proof of intellectual carelessness. But uncertainty and enthusiasm can coexist. I can understand that a promised release may be delayed, that an interview may lead nowhere, or that plans may change, while still finding genuine pleasure in considering what would happen if they succeed. A good forecast is a judgment about likelihood; a hopeful temperament is a way of inhabiting possibility. One need not lie to oneself in order to look forward to something.

Path three: I do not hope, and it does not happen

In this scenario there is neither anticipatory pleasure nor the desired event. The shirt describes the result as zero. Again, that number applies only to the two dimensions under discussion. A person still has friendships, duties, interests, memories and other reasons to live, whatever happens to one particular aspiration. Yet within the narrow frame of that aspiration, the cost of excessive emotional withholding becomes visible. I gained nothing from looking forward, because I did not allow myself to look forward; I gained nothing from the outcome, because it did not occur. I may have reduced my vulnerability to disappointment, but I have also deprived the uncertainty of any enjoyable content.

There is a temptation to treat this posture as a kind of invulnerability. If nothing has been hoped for, nothing can be taken away. In practice, a life organized around avoiding disappointed expectations risks becoming organized around absence. Hopes are among the ways human beings direct attention, sustain effort and generate reasons to act. C. R. Snyder's influential psychological theory defines hope through two interacting capacities: agency, the motivation to pursue a goal, and pathways, the perceived ability to identify routes toward it. This account is more active than mere wishfulness. It suggests that hopeful thinking can help organize behavior even when achieving the goal is uncertain. Other conceptions emphasize hope as an emotion or relationship; together they make it difficult to regard hope as a disposable decoration on otherwise complete living.

I do not pretend that hope can simply be switched on. Exhaustion, grief, anxiety and depression may narrow a person's capacity to anticipate pleasure. Sometimes emotional neutrality is a survival strategy rather than a choice. Hopelosophy is an invitation for the occasions when room for hope exists, not a diagnosis of people who cannot access it. The principle is that refusing every hopeful possibility in advance has an opportunity cost of its own. An imagined disappointment can never be prevented with absolute certainty by declining to imagine success; only the chance of enjoying the lead-up can be reliably forfeited.

Path four: I hope, and it happens

This is the complete expression of the idea. I spend time anticipating something worthwhile; the thing arrives; I experience the satisfaction of its arrival. My future has enriched my present, and then my present has been enriched by the event itself. I have rehearsed a concert in my mind, listened to the music beforehand, talked about it with friends, travelled to the venue, experienced the performance and carried it home as memory. The pleasure need not stop when the lights come up. Bryant's distinction between anticipation, present enjoyment and reminiscence suggests that an experience can be appreciated across time rather than confined to the duration of its occurrence. The shirt's 100 per cent represents this fuller participation, not an assurance of perfect happiness.

This fourth path is easy to recognize in creative culture. The announcement of a new work, the first image, the first trailer, the conversations, the theories, the revisiting of everything that preceded it: all these things can become part of its eventual significance. The release itself may last two hours or several evenings. The season of anticipation may last a year. It would seem strange to discount that entire season as irrelevant simply because it occurred before a particular date. I have spent much of my life finding enjoyment in these accumulated moments of expectation, from music and games to books and films, and in imagining what might become possible in my own creative work. The coming thing provides a focus, and the focusing produces a life around it.

There is, of course, no guarantee that the result will satisfy every expectation. A long-awaited work can disappoint; a milestone can feel ordinary; a success can be followed by a difficult morning. Wilson and Gilbert's findings on affective forecasting make that unsurprising. The value of this path therefore depends upon savoring the actual experience rather than insisting that it reproduce the fantasy exactly. Hope opens the door; attention allows me to walk through it. When the hoped-for event occurs, I want to be present enough to enjoy what has arrived, rather than spend the occasion measuring it against the mental image that brought me there.

The boundary between hope and illusion

I know the most substantial objection to this philosophy: constant hype might lead to unrealistic expectations, poor decisions or chronic disappointment. There is useful psychological evidence behind that concern. Research by Gabriele Oettingen and colleagues distinguishes positive expectations, grounded in judgments about likely success, from pleasurable fantasies that can sometimes reduce effort. Experiments have found that merely indulging in a desirable imagined outcome may make pursuing it less likely, whereas contrasting that imagined outcome with practical obstacles can support purposeful action. This is particularly relevant to ambitions under my influence: a book I want to write, a job I want to obtain, a personal goal I want to reach. Imagining the completed work can be enjoyable. Making a plan, recognizing barriers and doing the work remain necessary.

That distinction helps refine hopelosophy rather than defeat it. I can fully enjoy anticipating a game over whose release I have no control. I can also enjoy anticipating a book of my own, while acknowledging that imagination alone will not write it. One situation calls principally for curiosity, preparation and openness; the other adds effort, revision and responsibility. In both, hope need not certify the likelihood of success. It simply gives me permission to regard possibility as emotionally meaningful while behaving intelligently toward it. The old Stoic distinction between what depends on us and what does not, expressed in the opening of Epictetus' Enchiridion, is useful here. I can govern my attention, choices and work imperfectly but substantially. I cannot govern every consequence. This seems a workable philosophical neighbor to the monkey's advice: invest in the part of experience that can be lived now, while relinquishing any claim to command the final result.

The word always in the conclusion, always hope, always hype, therefore needs to be understood as an orientation rather than an instruction to manufacture joy on demand. We can hope without assuming certainty, and we can revise a hope when facts change. We can be afraid while hoping, and we can allow grief to exist without describing it as insufficiently positive. We can even decline to cultivate anticipation when the psychological cost is too high. In an emergency, realism is a duty; in terminal care, truthful communication matters; in relationships, another person's freedom matters more than our wished-for outcome. A philosophy that treats hope as a way of loving life's possibilities must also respect those possibilities' limits.

This is why the little percentage scheme matters to me despite its obvious imprecision. It changes the unit of analysis. We usually judge an aspiration retrospectively, declaring it worthwhile if successful and misguided if unsuccessful. I want to judge the lived quality of the interval as well. Did the hope lead me to learn, connect, prepare, imagine, appreciate, act? Did it make the waiting weeks more alive? These questions admit answers independently of whether the desired event happened. There is no need to claim that all anticipation is pleasant, or that every failed hope leaves a net emotional profit. The more modest proposition is enough: anticipation is a genuine component of experience, and a person who never permits it may miss an available source of meaning.

Giving the future a place in the present

I think there is something quietly radical in defending enthusiasm without embarrassment. Modern public culture often rewards the person who seems difficult to impress. Suspicion can resemble discernment; ironic distance can resemble intelligence; refusing to care can resemble immunity to manipulation. There are good reasons to resist manufactured excitement, especially when advertising and algorithms attempt to dictate what deserves our attention. My own preference is for interests that arise freely, rather than demands to be excited on someone else's schedule. Hopelosophy is at its strongest when the hope is genuinely mine. A horizon selected by affection, curiosity or imagination is a different thing from an obligation imposed by a marketing campaign.

In that sense, the philosophy is also a defense of time. A calendar does not merely record future events. It can be a map of reasons to read, prepare, discuss, dream and keep moving. When I look forward to a release, a gathering, a family occasion or a creative milestone, I am giving that approaching period some texture. The hours before it happen are part of my actual lifetime. I cannot recover them later and fill them retroactively with anticipation. I can either inhabit them with some degree of hope or allow the possibility to pass through them without participation. Neither choice controls fate; one choice may allow more life to be lived along the way.

The MISCELLABRA monkey was never meant to be a prophet. He is a mascot for permission: permission to care before the verdict, to be delighted before the confirmation, to pursue things without treating their uncertainty as an embarrassment, and to look ahead without surrendering the day at hand. His percentages are intentionally absurd, but the humane insight behind them is simple. The future may bring the thing I want, or it may not. I do not want those two outcomes to determine whether I was allowed to enjoy the road toward them. I want to collect the anticipation when it is available, the experience when it arrives, and the memory when it remains. I want to remain honest about what hurts, practical about what can be changed, and generous toward the possibilities that make an ordinary day feel open. That is my hopelosophy. The monkey has done the mathematics; I intend to live the principle.

Sources and further reading

1. Chessa, A. (2026, June 30). Introducing Miscellabra: Making “Garments for the Guileless” — Entry 1: Cosmo Kenny and Friends. Source

2. Loewenstein, G. (1987). Anticipation and the valuation of delayed consumption. The Economic Journal, 97(387), 666–684. Source

3. Bryant, F. B. (2021). Current progress and future directions for theory and research on savoring. Frontiers in Psychology, 12. Source

4. Wilson, T. D., & Gilbert, D. T. (2005). Affective forecasting: Knowing what to want. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 14(3), 131–134. Source

5. Snyder, C. R. (2002). Hope theory: Rainbows in the mind. Psychological Inquiry, 13(4), 249–275. Source

6. Oettingen, G., & Mayer, D. (2002). The motivating function of thinking about the future: Expectations versus fantasies. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 83(5), 1198–1212. Source

7. Oettingen, G. (2016). The power of prospection: Mental contrasting and behavior change. Social and Personality Psychology Compass. Source

8. Molina Robles, C., et al. (2026). Interventions to promote hope in people with advanced illness: Rapid review. Journal of Hospice & Palliative Nursing, 28(4), 162–171. Source

9. Epictetus. Enchiridion, chapter 1. Text and English translation. Source